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March 8, 2007

Default Rates on Guaranteed Student Loans Likely to Drop This Year, Data Suggest

Default rates for borrowers in the guaranteed-student-loan program are likely to drop this year, preliminary data released last month by the Department of Education suggest.

Last year the default rate for student-loan borrowers inched up slightly, from a record-low 4.5 percent to 5.1 percent. This year the rate is forecast to fall to 4.9 percent, according to draft cohort data on default rates that the department provided to guarantee agencies in February.

The cohort default rate measures the number of student-loan borrowers who default in a fiscal year as a percentage of the total number of borrowers entering repayment in the previous fiscal year.

The drop represents good news for the lending industry, which has been on the defensive with Congress and the White House in recent months. Most recently, President Bush proposed paying for an increase in the maximum Pell Grant by slashing subsidies to lenders for the third time in a year.

The National Council of Higher Education Loan Programs, which represents lenders in the guaranteed-loan program, attributed the drop to intensified default-prevention efforts by colleges and lenders.

Posted on Thursday March 8, 2007 | Permalink |

Comments

  1. Even more impressive, the lifetime default rate of FFELP loans is significantly lower than it is for the Direct Loan program. Low default rates don’t just happen—they require large investments of resources by lenders and guaranty agencies, working closely with schools.

    When default rates are low, everyone wins—students, lenders, schools and taxpayers.

    — David Starr    Mar 8, 10:14 PM    #

  2. Look a little closer and you will find that the creation of “deferment” and “forbearance” options for students who would otherwise default is the real reason the percentages have been in single digits for the past few years. It’s fun with numbers, but it’s political suicide to fix it because no administration wants the default rate to “rise” on their watch. Fat City for the lenders, though!

    — Y. I. Autta    Mar 9, 08:30 AM    #

  3. It is important in any discussion of FFELP vs. Direct Loan default rates that FFELP borrowers in default (or in danger of default) are now advised by many lenders to consolidate their FFELP loans into Direct Lending to obtain the Income Contingent Repayment option. This would put a downward pressure on FFELP default rates while putting upward pressure on DL default rates. While the move is good for borrowers who need assistance of ICR to repay their loans, it gives a false read of comparative default rates.

    — Eileen O'Leary    Mar 9, 11:46 AM    #