For-profit colleges that are ineligible to receive Title IV student-aid funds are a “sizable but overlooked” and little-studied part of the for-profit sector, and they tend to charge a lot less for their services than comparable for-profit colleges that are eligible for Title IV funds, according to a new paper published today by the National Bureau of Economic Research.
The paper, by Stephanie Riegg Cellini of George Washington University and Claudia Goldin of Harvard University, says that the higher tuition at the Title IV-eligible colleges provides evidence of the “Bennett hypothesis”—the theory, espoused by William J. Bennett, the former education secretary, that colleges eligible for federal student aid jack up their tuition to maximize the aid funds they can capture. The authors acknowledge that “unobservable measures of reputation and quality” may account for the tuition premium charged by the aid-eligible colleges, but they also point out that those colleges tend to have higher costs because of their heavy spending on student recruitment.
The paper, which claims to provide the “first comprehensive estimate” on the overall size of the for-profit sector, draws on data from five states to conclude that the total number of for-profit colleges is double the official count (which includes only aid-eligible institutions) and the number of students they serve is one-quarter to one-third higher. The aid-ineligible colleges do not tend to cycle in and out of eligibility, the paper says, and they often compete for students with their aid-eligible peers and community colleges.
With the Education Department increasing oversight of aid-eligible for-profit colleges, notably through the recently imposed “gainful employment” regulations, some of those colleges may lose their ability to receive federal student aid. If that happens, the paper suggests, students may give the aid-ineligible colleges another look.

