Climate adaptation was certainly a major topic of discussion at the recent sustainability conferences I attended in Denver. I wrote about a presentation by a sustainability director at Dalhousie University, who discussed the various ways her institution was planning for major climate disruptions. She, like many who have addressed this issue, talked about the threat to institutions close to shorelines and rising water.
But there is another troubling side to water in a climate-changed world — lack of it. Scientists have long argued that global warming will exacerbate trends in both wet and dry areas, and for the dry areas that means potential dought conditions. This week, the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research released some projections for drought in years to come. Check these out:
I think I’ll move to my ancestral homeland, Scandinavia, which might actually get more rainfall — along with Alaska, Siberia, central Africa, and India.
Then again, that rainfall could come in more-intense bursts, as climate scientists have also predicted, followed by long dry spells. The winter-summer-fall here in the Mid-Atlantic region might be a pattern for the future: Intense snowstorms with record precipitation, followed by an intensely hot and dry summer, followed by a somewhat wet autumn. I foresee major investments in companies that make rainwater catchment systems, which could help alleviate water pressures in some areas.
Where does your institution fall on some of the maps above? And what are you doing about it?






5 Responses to Does Your College Have a Drought Plan? Better Make One
badger74 - October 22, 2010 at 4:06 pm
What a completely unsupported article. NONE of the climate models holds water when subjected to scientific testing and analysis. They are USELESS for doing any serious planning for the future. I suggest starting with this recent analysis.
http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2010/10/22/very-important-new-paper-a-comparison-of-local-and-aggregated-climate-model-outputs-with-observed-data-by-anagnostopoulos-et-al-2010/
22228715 - October 22, 2010 at 7:46 pm
Whose bright idea was it to make a map in which one end of the spectrum is purple and the other is blue, and where bright red (usually a hot, scary color) is a moderate condition on the scale? Roy G. Biv, folks, not Ivro Y. Gb!!! I have no idea whether the data/models the maps are based upon are well-supported, but whoever made the maps needs some coaching on making visual aids easy to read.
22228715 - October 22, 2010 at 7:48 pm
P.S. My institution is mauve, long after my life expectancy. And right next to one of the largest freshwater sources on the planet. Not sure what that means.
swish - October 27, 2010 at 10:23 am
22228715: The site of origin (from the link in the article) had some explanation below the maps.
“The maps use a common measure, the Palmer Drought Severity Index, which assigns positive numbers when conditions are unusually wet for a particular region, and negative numbers when conditions are unusually dry. A reading of -4 or below is considered extreme drought.”
Bright red is -4, is already intended to represent a severe condition.
swish - October 27, 2010 at 10:37 am
By the way, the article proudly highlighted in the climate-change-skeptics’ site to which badger74 links is actually free at http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~db=all?content=10.1080/02626667.2010.513518. In fact, the entire journal seems to be open-access. Not that there’s anything wrong with that.