The SAT: An Essay in Uncertainty

My son Alexei just graduated from high school, ending an intense and important senior year, in which he was judged worthy of acceptance by some colleges and rejected by others. As it turns out, the same week saw the release of the most comprehensive study of one of the key tools of that judgment process — the SAT exams.

The headline on the Web site of the College Board, the maker of the test, was, "SAT Studies Show Test's Strength in Predicting College Success." At the same

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