Several Political Scientists Say Obama Could Win, With a Tight Margin

Will Barack Obama cruise to victory in November â€” or will the contest be Bush-Gore tight?

With only two months to go before the presidential election, eight political scientists at the recent meeting of the American Political Science Association took up that question.

Seven of the scholars predicted popular-vote victories for Mr. Obama, but two of them forecast margins so thin that he might easily lose the Electoral College, they said. The eighth panelist was not

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