September 2, 2008
Political Scientists Predict Victory for Obama, or a Tight Race
Boston
Will Barack Obama cruise to victory in November—or will the contest be Bush-Gore tight? Both scenarios were sketched here on Friday during the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association when eight scholars offered stylized forecasting models for this fall's election.
Seven of the scholars predicted popular-vote victories for Mr. Obama, but two of them forecast margins so thin that they said he might easily lose the Electoral College. The eighth panelist was
This is an article for subscribers only. You may access this article by purchasing a:
Digital or Print Subscription
Web Pass
Already have an account? Log In Now.
-
Off Beat

-
The Chronicle Review

-
Administration


