With rumors of coups in Iraq swirling around Baghdad and Washington, and the much-anticipated testimony of Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan C. Crocker coming next month, Joseph S. Nye Jr. takes to the Huffington Post to weigh in on the current state of American foreign policy.

"I argued six months ago that the current 'surge' was likely to produce some military improvements, but that success would depend on major political compromise among the three main factions," Nye writes. "There is little sign of this occurring, and thus the military gains are not likely to last."

For a more thorough analysis of American foreign policy after Iraq you can see Nye's recent essay for The Chronicle Review.