Did the gay-marriage backlash help win Bush the White House in ’04?

The Monkey Cage contrasts prevailing journalistic and academic analyses. Put simplistically: Most reporters have thought the issue mobilized conservative voters and helped Bush; many academics believe it mobilized both sides and had a net-neutral effect or was even of benefit to John Kerry.

Helpful links to news and journal articles, including, in comments, one to an unrevised proof of an upcoming article in PS.

In The Chronicle Review in January, Suzanna Danuta Walters considered gay marriage from a broader cultural standpoint, and wrote: “The real lavender threat, perhaps symbolized by marriage but certainly not subsumed by it, is that gay kinship, gay sexual frontiers, gay intimacies will disrupt heterosexual familialism.”